当前中国新能源（特别是风电与光伏）发展存在宏观引导与长期规划不足的现象。如何准确地评估我国各地区的风电光伏发展潜力,从而科学地指导新能源健康有序发展是亟待解决的问题。为此,提出一种基于熵权TOPSIS的风电光伏发展潜力评估模型。首先,在考虑中国风电光伏能源发展特点与主要矛盾的基础上,构建风电光伏发展潜力的评估指标体系,并提出基于熵权法TOPSIS的风电光伏发展潜力评估模型;然后,使用该模型对中国31个地区的风电光伏发展潜力进行评估与分析;最后,根据各地区的评估分析结果与风电光伏发展特点,提出针对性的发展建议。
Abstract
At present, China’s new energy（especially wind power and photovoltaic） development is lack of macro guidance and long-term planning phenomenon. How to accurately assess the development potential of wind power and photovoltaic in various regions of our country, so as to scientifically guide the healthy and orderly development of new enegery is an urgent problem to be solved. To this end, a wind power and photovoltaic development potential evaluation model based on entropy weight TOPSIS is proposed. Firstly, considering the characteristics and main contradictions of China’s wind power and photovoltaic development, a wind power and photovoltaic development potential evaluation index system was constructed. And a wind power and photovoltaic development potential evaluation model based on the entropy method TOPSIS was proposed;In the second place, the article use the model to evaluate and analyze the development potential of wind power and photovoltaic in 31 regions of China; Finally, based on the evaluation results of various regions and the characteristics of wind power and photovoltaic development, specific development suggestions are put forward.
关键词
风力发电 /
光伏发电 /
能源管理 /
能源政策 /
熵权TOPSIS /
发展建议
Key words
wind power /
PV power /
power management /
energy policy /
entropy TOPSIS method /
development proposals
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