计及前瞻风险的综合能源系统低碳经济调度优化

朱西平; 江强; 钟宇; 姚显億; 刘明航; 罗惠文

doi:10.19912/j.0254-0096.tynxb.2022-0081

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太阳能学报 ›› 2023, Vol. 44 ›› Issue (6) : 113-121. DOI: 10.19912/j.0254-0096.tynxb.2022-0081

计及前瞻风险的综合能源系统低碳经济调度优化

朱西平, 江强, 钟宇, 姚显億, 刘明航, 罗惠文

作者信息 +

LOW-CARBON ECONOMIC DISPATCH OPTIMIZATION OF INTEGRATED ENERGY SYSTEM CONSIDERING FORWARD-LOOKING RISKS

Zhu Xiping, Jiang Qiang, Zhong Yu, Yao Xianyi, Liu Minghang, Luo Huiwen

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文章历史 +

摘要

针对可再生能源波动性给综合能源系统（IES）稳定运行带来的巨大挑战,提出一种考虑前瞻风险和经济环境效益的IES调度优化方法。以系统运行成本、污染排放最小为目标,通过蒙特卡洛法生成风光及负荷不确定性概率场景,运用负荷损失值分析不确定性因素潜在风险规模,基于条件风险价值理论控制系统运行风险,引入综合需求响应规划降低运营成本,通过模糊决策算法获得最优方案。算例分析表明：该方案在完成低碳经济调度目标下,实现系统可靠运行且兼具灵活性,提升系统经济环境效益。

Abstract

In response to the great challenges posed by the volatility of renewable energy resources to the stable operation of integrated energy system （IES）, an IES scheduling optimization method considering forward-looking risks and economic and environmental benefits is proposed. With the objective of minimizing system operation cost and pollution emission, the scenery and load uncertainty probability scenarios are generated by Monte Carlo method, the potential risk scale of uncertainty factors is analyzed based on load loss values, the system operation risk is controlled by applying conditional value-at-risk theory, the operation cost is reduced by introducing integrated demand response planning, and the optimal solution is obtained by fuzzy decision algorithm. The analysis of the algorithm shows that the proposed scheme achieves reliable operation and flexibility of the system under the goal of low-carbon economic dispatch, and improves the economic and environmental benefits of the system.

导出引用

朱西平, 江强, 钟宇, 姚显億, 刘明航, 罗惠文. 计及前瞻风险的综合能源系统低碳经济调度优化[J]. 太阳能学报. 2023, 44(6): 113-121 https://doi.org/10.19912/j.0254-0096.tynxb.2022-0081

Zhu Xiping, Jiang Qiang, Zhong Yu, Yao Xianyi, Liu Minghang, Luo Huiwen. LOW-CARBON ECONOMIC DISPATCH OPTIMIZATION OF INTEGRATED ENERGY SYSTEM CONSIDERING FORWARD-LOOKING RISKS[J]. Acta Energiae Solaris Sinica. 2023, 44(6): 113-121 https://doi.org/10.19912/j.0254-0096.tynxb.2022-0081

中图分类号： TM73

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