该文以太阳能资源丰富的陕北典型农村为例开展调研,在家庭分组的基础上利用蒙特卡洛聚合生成社区可平移负荷曲线,并提出时间、能耗、随机度的三维指标进行可平移负荷综合评价分析。研究结果表明,农村炊事用电负荷体量较大但可平移潜力有限,洗衣用电负荷可平移性较好但体量较小。生活热水负荷的各项可平移指标较为均衡,在水箱蓄热特性加持下,可平移潜力尤为突出。
Abstract
In this paper, a typical rural area in northern Shaanxi province was investigated, Monte Carlo simulation was used to generate aggregated shiftable load curves on the basis of family clustering, and a comprehensive evaluation from the perspectives of time, energy, and randomness was given. The results show that the volume of cooking load is large but the time range to be shifted is small, while the volume of laundry load is small but the time range to be shifted was large. Overall, domestic hot water load is more comprehensive in the above three aspects, the heat storage properties of water tank makes the shiftable load potential more significant.
关键词
太阳能 /
需求侧管理 /
蒙特卡洛模拟 /
K-均值聚类 /
可平移负荷 /
分组聚合 /
特性评价
Key words
solar energy /
demand-side management /
Monte Carlo simulation /
K-means clustering /
shiftable load /
grouping aggreation /
characteristic evaluation
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基金
国家自然科学基金（52008328; 82378109）
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