计及氢价指数影响的电制氢系统运行策略优化

孟涛; 刘鸿鹏; 孙勇; 何永康

doi:10.19912/j.0254-0096.tynxb.2025-0227

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太阳能学报 ›› 2026, Vol. 47 ›› Issue (6) : 616-627. DOI: 10.19912/j.0254-0096.tynxb.2025-0227

计及氢价指数影响的电制氢系统运行策略优化

孟涛¹, 刘鸿鹏¹, 孙勇², 何永康³

作者信息 +

OPTIMIZATION OF OPERATION STRATEGY FOR POWER-TO-HYDROGEN SYSTEMS CONSIDERING IMPACT OF HYDROGEN PRICE INDEX

Meng Tao¹, Liu Hongpeng¹, Sun Yong², He Yongkang³

Author information +

文章历史 +

摘要

提出一种计及氢价指数影响的电制氢系统运行优化方法。首先,根据历史氢价信息构建模糊集,实现氢价的不确定性建模。然后,提出一种协调氢价波动与新能源波动的季节性生产强度预估机制。基于季节生产强度预估,建立电制氢系统运行的分布鲁棒优化模型。算例结果表明所提生产强度预估机制可合理化调整季度生产强度,与分布鲁棒优化模型结合可促进可再生能源消纳,降低日内调度总成本。

Abstract

This study proposes an operational optimization framework for power-to-hydrogen systems that explicitly incorporates the influence of hydrogen price dynamics. Firstly, a fuzzy set is constructed using historical price data to simulate hydrogen price volatility. Subsequently, a seasonal production intensity forecasting mechanism is developed to coordinate hydrogen price volatility with renewable energy variability. Building on this seasonal forecasting, a distributionaly robust optimization model is formulated for the operational scheduling of power-to-hydrogen systems. Case study results demonstrate that the proposed forecasting mechanism enables rational quarterly adjustments of production intensity, and its integration with the distributionaly robust optimization model effectively enhances renewable energy consumption while reducing daily operational costs.

导出引用

孟涛, 刘鸿鹏, 孙勇, 何永康. 计及氢价指数影响的电制氢系统运行策略优化[J]. 太阳能学报. 2026, 47(6): 616-627 https://doi.org/10.19912/j.0254-0096.tynxb.2025-0227

Meng Tao, Liu Hongpeng, Sun Yong, He Yongkang. OPTIMIZATION OF OPERATION STRATEGY FOR POWER-TO-HYDROGEN SYSTEMS CONSIDERING IMPACT OF HYDROGEN PRICE INDEX[J]. Acta Energiae Solaris Sinica. 2026, 47(6): 616-627 https://doi.org/10.19912/j.0254-0096.tynxb.2025-0227

中图分类号： TK91

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