CAPACITY CONFIGURATION OPTIMIZATION FOR RENEWABLE POWER AMMONIA PROVDCTION SYSTEM BASED ON WIND AND SOLAR PROBABILITY PREDICTION

Mao Meiqin; Tao Weipeng; Wu Jixun; Wang Haining; Zou Shaokun

doi:10.19912/j.0254-0096.tynxb.2024-0636

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Acta Energiae Solaris Sinica ›› 2025, Vol. 46 ›› Issue (8) : 644-655. DOI: 10.19912/j.0254-0096.tynxb.2024-0636

CAPACITY CONFIGURATION OPTIMIZATION FOR RENEWABLE POWER AMMONIA PROVDCTION SYSTEM BASED ON WIND AND SOLAR PROBABILITY PREDICTION

Mao Meiqin¹, Tao Weipeng¹, Wu Jixun¹, Wang Haining¹, Zou Shaokun²

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Abstract

In this paper, the wind and solar probability prediction models based on Copula theory are established, and a two-level capacity optimization configuration model of the main components for a GW-scale renewable power to ammonia（RePtA） systems is proposed comprehensively considering the impact of installation sites, the strategies of energy systems configuration, and system operation strategies. By the proposed models, the minimum unit ammonia cost is adopted as the objective function considering the operation constraints and strategies of different system configurations and different installation sites to optimize the capacity configurations of main components, such as wind generators, photovoltaic generators, equipment of producing hydrogen by water electrolysis, and energy storages. Taking a GW-level RePtA system as an example, the impact of different energy storage configurations at typical five types of installation sites on the optimal configuration and economic performance of the system are quantitatively analyzed and compared.

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wind power / photovoltaics / energy storage / renewable power to ammonia / capacity configuration optimization

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Mao Meiqin, Tao Weipeng, Wu Jixun, Wang Haining, Zou Shaokun. CAPACITY CONFIGURATION OPTIMIZATION FOR RENEWABLE POWER AMMONIA PROVDCTION SYSTEM BASED ON WIND AND SOLAR PROBABILITY PREDICTION[J]. Acta Energiae Solaris Sinica. 2025, 46(8): 644-655 https://doi.org/10.19912/j.0254-0096.tynxb.2024-0636

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