园区综合能源系统动态多目标规划模型研究

赵振宇; 李炘薪; 包格日乐图

doi:10.19912/j.0254-0096.tynxb.2024-0415

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太阳能学报 ›› 2025, Vol. 46 ›› Issue (5) : 213-226. DOI: 10.19912/j.0254-0096.tynxb.2024-0415

园区综合能源系统动态多目标规划模型研究

赵振宇, 李炘薪, 包格日乐图

作者信息 +

RESEARCH ON DYNAMIC MULTI-OBJECTIVE PROGRAMMING MODEL FOR PARK-LEVEL INTEGRATED ENERGY SYSTEM

Zhao Zhenyu, Li Xinxin, Bao Geriletu

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摘要

立足中国北方地区园区能源系统发展现状及实际需求,针对园区能源系统规划期总成本与清洁能源应用规模的协调性问题,该文提出考虑源荷动态适配的综合能源系统动态多目标规划模型。基于负荷的趋势性预测和多元场景的构建,模型以规划期内综合能源系统总成本最低和清洁能源渗透率最高为优化目标,获得综合能源系统在长时间尺度下的最优动态配置方案;通过引入不同规划周期、光伏配置规模和能源突变模型、碳交易机制,探究园区综合能源系统在现有清洁资源禀赋条件下的最佳动态规划路径、优化调度模式;并应用案例验证了所建规划模型对解决综合能源系统总成本与清洁能源渗透率均衡问题的有效性。研究表明,提高规划阶段数目、优化光伏配置规模、投入风电机组以及引入碳交易机制,均有利于保证项目成本处在合理管控区间的同时,提升清洁能源渗透率并降低系统规划期碳排放总量。

Abstract

Based on the current development status and actual needs of the energy system in northern China’s industrial parks, this article proposes an integrated energy system dynamic multi-objective programming model that considers the dynamic adaptation of source and load. This model addresses the coordination between the total cost of energy system planning and the scale of clean energy application in industrial parks. Based on load trend prediction and the construction of multiple scenarios, the model aims to optimize the integrated energy system with the lowest total cost and the highest penetration rate of clean energy during the planning period, and obtain the optimal dynamic configuration scheme for the integrated energy system over a long time scale. By introducing different planning cycles, photovoltaic configuration scales, energy mutation models, and carbon trading mechanisms, this study explores the optimal dynamic planning path and optimized scheduling mode of the integrated energy system in the park under the existing clean resource endowment conditions. The effectiveness of the proposed planning model in solving the balance between the total cost of integrated energy systems and the penetration rate of clean energy was verified through case studies. Research has shown that increasing the number of planning stages, optimizing the scale of photovoltaic configuration, investing in wind turbines, and introducing carbon trading mechanisms are all beneficial in ensuring that project costs are within a reasonable control range, improving the penetration rate of clean energy, and reducing the total carbon emissions during the system planning period.

导出引用

赵振宇, 李炘薪, 包格日乐图. 园区综合能源系统动态多目标规划模型研究[J]. 太阳能学报. 2025, 46(5): 213-226 https://doi.org/10.19912/j.0254-0096.tynxb.2024-0415

Zhao Zhenyu, Li Xinxin, Bao Geriletu. RESEARCH ON DYNAMIC MULTI-OBJECTIVE PROGRAMMING MODEL FOR PARK-LEVEL INTEGRATED ENERGY SYSTEM[J]. Acta Energiae Solaris Sinica. 2025, 46(5): 213-226 https://doi.org/10.19912/j.0254-0096.tynxb.2024-0415

中图分类号： TK519

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