计及风险偏好的风光氢储醇耦合系统多目标运行优化及效益均衡模型

徐甜甜; 杜易达; 周晓彤; 谭忠富

doi:10.19912/j.0254-0096.tynxb.2024-2344

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太阳能学报 ›› 2026, Vol. 47 ›› Issue (2) : 375-386. DOI: 10.19912/j.0254-0096.tynxb.2024-2344

计及风险偏好的风光氢储醇耦合系统多目标运行优化及效益均衡模型

徐甜甜, 杜易达, 周晓彤, 谭忠富

作者信息 +

MULTI-OBJECTIVE OPERATION OPTIMIZATION AND BENEFIT EQUILIBRIUM MODEL FOR WIND-SOLAR-HYDROGEN-STORAGE-METHANOL COUPLING SYSTEMS CONSIDERING RISK PREFERENCES

Xu Tiantian, Du Yida, Zhou Xiaotong, Tan Zhongfu

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文章历史 +

摘要

为应对风光氢储醇耦合系统的运行不确定性及多主体利益协调问题,该文提出计及风险偏好的风光氢储醇耦合系统多目标运行优化及效益均衡模型。首先,综合考虑经济性、消纳性和稳定性3个维度目标,基于信息间隙决策理论构建不同风险偏好下的多目标运行优化模型。其次,基于改进Shapley值法构建多维度因素分层效益均衡模型。最后,以某园区风光氢储醇耦合系统为例进行算例分析,结果表明：所构建运行优化模型可有效应对不确定性影响,效益均衡模型可实现多主体效益的公平分配,验证模型的有效性及风光氢储醇耦合系统运行的优越性。

Abstract

In order to address the operational uncertainty of the wind-solar-hydrogen-storage-methanol coupling system and the coordination of interests among multiple stakeholders, the paper proposes a multi-objective operation optimization and benefit equilibrium model for the wind-solar-hydrogen-storage-methanol coupling system, taking into account risk preferences. Firstly, the multi-objective operation optimization model is constructed based on the information gap decision theory with different risk preferences, taking into account the three-dimensional objectives of economy, consumption, and stability. Secondly, a multi-dimensional factor hierarchical benefit equilibrium model is constructed based on the improved Shapley value method. Consequently, an illustrative analysis is conducted employing the wind-solar-hydrogen-storage-methanol coupling system in a park, and the results demonstrate that the constructed operation optimization model can effectively address the impact of uncertainty, while the benefit equilibrium model can achieve the equitable distribution of benefits among multiple entities. This validates the model’s credibility and substantiates the efficacy of the wind-solar-hydrogen-storage-methanol coupling system.

导出引用

徐甜甜, 杜易达, 周晓彤, 谭忠富. 计及风险偏好的风光氢储醇耦合系统多目标运行优化及效益均衡模型[J]. 太阳能学报. 2026, 47(2): 375-386 https://doi.org/10.19912/j.0254-0096.tynxb.2024-2344

Xu Tiantian, Du Yida, Zhou Xiaotong, Tan Zhongfu. MULTI-OBJECTIVE OPERATION OPTIMIZATION AND BENEFIT EQUILIBRIUM MODEL FOR WIND-SOLAR-HYDROGEN-STORAGE-METHANOL COUPLING SYSTEMS CONSIDERING RISK PREFERENCES[J]. Acta Energiae Solaris Sinica. 2026, 47(2): 375-386 https://doi.org/10.19912/j.0254-0096.tynxb.2024-2344

中图分类号： TK91

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